Pre-tourney Rankings
Northern Colorado
Big Sky
2012-13
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#251
Expected Predictive Rating-7.7#283
Pace67.0#181
Improvement+4.2#35

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#166
Improvement+4.0#36

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#313
Improvement+0.1#170
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2012 132   @ Cal Poly L 53-64 15%     0 - 1 -5.4 -12.9 +6.1
  Nov 21, 2012 89   Wyoming L 60-69 24%     0 - 2 -6.8 -9.7 +2.7
  Nov 26, 2012 24   @ Colorado St. L 69-85 4%     0 - 3 -0.1 +4.3 -5.4
  Dec 01, 2012 291   @ UC Riverside L 63-69 49%     0 - 4 -11.1 -16.2 +5.9
  Dec 05, 2012 64   @ Northern Iowa L 59-76 7%     0 - 5 -6.0 -1.6 -6.1
  Dec 08, 2012 34   @ Wichita St. L 54-80 4%     0 - 6 -11.1 -9.7 -1.8
  Dec 21, 2012 264   @ North Dakota W 75-66 40%     1 - 6 1 - 0 +6.3 -1.6 +7.4
  Dec 29, 2012 313   @ Southern Utah L 50-51 55%     1 - 7 1 - 1 -7.6 -21.5 +13.9
  Jan 03, 2013 105   @ Weber St. L 54-79 12%     1 - 8 1 - 2 -17.5 -17.2 +0.0
  Jan 05, 2013 320   @ Idaho St. L 63-86 59%     1 - 9 1 - 3 -30.6 -10.7 -20.4
  Jan 10, 2013 311   Montana St. L 66-69 77%     1 - 10 1 - 4 -15.9 -11.8 -4.4
  Jan 12, 2013 148   Montana L 77-85 39%     1 - 11 1 - 5 -10.4 +13.2 -24.8
  Jan 17, 2013 312   Portland St. W 67-50 77%     2 - 11 2 - 5 +4.0 -10.5 +16.3
  Jan 19, 2013 300   Eastern Washington W 72-56 75%     3 - 11 3 - 5 +3.6 -3.4 +7.9
  Jan 24, 2013 307   @ Northern Arizona L 65-67 54%     3 - 12 3 - 6 -8.3 -5.4 -3.0
  Jan 26, 2013 286   @ Sacramento St. L 72-79 48%     3 - 13 3 - 7 -11.7 +11.7 -24.8
  Jan 31, 2013 320   Idaho St. W 78-63 80%     4 - 13 4 - 7 +0.9 +12.6 -9.2
  Feb 02, 2013 105   Weber St. L 64-85 27%     4 - 14 4 - 8 -20.0 -8.8 -11.4
  Feb 07, 2013 148   @ Montana L 63-73 19%     4 - 15 4 - 9 -5.9 -9.8 +4.0
  Feb 09, 2013 311   @ Montana St. W 85-72 54%     5 - 15 5 - 9 +6.6 +10.3 -3.0
  Feb 14, 2013 307   Northern Arizona W 76-68 76%     6 - 15 6 - 9 -4.7 -1.5 -3.0
  Feb 16, 2013 286   Sacramento St. W 78-64 72%     7 - 15 7 - 9 +2.8 +8.5 -4.2
  Feb 20, 2013 264   North Dakota L 62-64 65%     7 - 16 7 - 10 -11.2 -8.6 -2.8
  Feb 23, 2013 199   @ UC Davis L 78-79 26%     7 - 17 +0.5 +3.8 -3.2
  Feb 28, 2013 300   @ Eastern Washington W 88-80 OT 52%     8 - 17 8 - 10 +2.1 -0.2 +1.2
  Mar 02, 2013 312   @ Portland St. W 85-75 55%     9 - 17 9 - 10 +3.5 +10.7 -6.4
  Mar 07, 2013 313   Southern Utah W 66-58 77%     10 - 17 10 - 10 -5.1 -1.6 -2.3
  Mar 14, 2013 311   Montana St. W 69-56 66%     11 - 17 +3.3 -8.3 +12.3
  Mar 15, 2013 148   @ Montana L 56-70 19%     11 - 18 -9.9 -11.5 +0.5
Projected Record 11.0 - 18.0 10.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10 100.0% 100.0
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%